LSU vs Florida NCAAF Pick – Week 7

The Florida Gators and LSU Tigers equally come into this Saturdays match.
LSU beat against the Longhorns and went to Texas. The Gators stifled then-No. 7 Auburn at the Swamp weekend. But during this weeks matchup in Death Valley, the two teams seem to take over a spot in the race .
Floridas defense leads the solution in their opinion. Theyve given up the 8th-fewest offensive touchdowns (5), and havent given up a point in the 4th quarter since their opener. As he went 11 with three INTs into making decisions that were several last week Auburn QB Bo Nix flustered.
However, Joe Burrow isnt Nix. He is a seasoned quarterback, and it has led LSU. Theyve averaged 54.6 points-per-game, the maximum in college football. This includes the 45 they dumped on the street on Texas.
Together with Death Valley awaitings roar that the Gators come in as 13-point underdogs on BetNow. Could the No. cover the spread and 5 shield keep this near? Or will also the No. 2 passing crime and Burrow keep rolling up and also win the bet? Here is the breakdown.
Theres very little doubt in Burrows skill anymore. He has converted into a Heisman candidate, obtaining an immaculate 22/3 TD/INT ratio and 11.5 yards-per-attempt (3rd at the FBS).
He is also working with one of the very best receiving groups in the nation. The trio of JaMarr Chase, Justin Jefferson, along with Terrace Marshall Jr. have combined for 19 touchdowns along with 73 receptions, with averages above 15 YPC for three.
Jefferson has great length with his 63 frame, and it has dominated in some huge games. Chase is a physical presence on the opposing side. Marshall Jr. will sit out until November with a foot injury, but Derrick Dillon is a seasoned target who can fill the spot. Its all a part of a passing game thats Burrow in a 78.4% completion percentage.
They will face by far the roughest DB unit theyve played throughout the year. Northwestern State is a FCS group, but here are the yards-per-attempt given up by LSU competitors: Utah State 103rd, Texas 124th, Vanderbilt 128th, along with Georgia Southern 111th.
Florida currently sits at 33rd, though its safe to say theyve yet to play a QB of Burrows standard. Theyve played FCS QBs, a true freshman (Nix), a redshirt freshman making his first start (Jarren Williams, Miami), and Nevertheless, C.J. Henderson has been preseason All-American who is living up to his own billing. Shawn Davis generates a bunch of havoc in the secondary (111 yards on 3 INTs). Marco Wilson is somewhat on spot, but has a large ceiling for a cover man.
Burrow will confront a ominous pass-rush, which will be healthy for the first time since their 10 sacks versus Miami. Jabari Zuniga, believed to be their coming in to this season, is coming back from injury. With him on one side along with Jonathan Greenard (4.0 sacks/6.5 TKFL) over the flip side, LSUs 63rd-ranked sofa rate on their o-line is going to be tested.
Ever since Kyle Trask substituted Feleipe Franks (ankle injury) as Floridas quarterback, the Gators have outscored opponents 115-16.
While the new QB have to enhance his awareness he has to get flustered by an opposing defensive line. Auburns ranks 11th in line yards, and is the very best in the country, according to Football Outsiders.
LSU is ranked 31st at LY and will be currently 85th in sack rate. Theyll rely upon blitzing LBs to help throw Trask his game off. The Florida QB is confident in the pocket but is not portable out of it. He sprained a knee and wore a leg brace when he reentered the game.
Together with the LBs All-American safety Grant Delpit should produce big in policy. He probably will face off against a matchup nightmare in Florida TE Kyle Pitts (25 receptions). Neutralizing Pitts (65-240pounds, 4.6 40-yard dash) is critical to LSUs victory on D.
LSU–such as Floridas secondary–is considered DBU for the talent they have on the outside of their defense. Derek Stingley Jr. is continuing this legacy with performances which should land him around the All-Freshman group, or even longer, in 2019.
On the other side of him will be out of returning FBS corners, Kristian Fulton, who let the smallest sum of downs this past year. It will be given a chance against a driven Trask though this group is in passing yards allowed per-game, 69th.
Balance is going to be as crucial as for Florida, who hasnt got their running game this year, going however. Last weekend broke a tackle at the point on his way to an 88-yard TD run. Even with that, the Florida o-line rankings 113th based on yards and also will be going up against the No. 1 d-line in terms of energy success (short-yardage situations).
While the LSU front may not be strong. But Florida only compiles 3.66 YPA on the ground, and that is like Perines long term and also a 76-yard receiver sweep which shut from the Kentucky game.
It puts ways too much stress on Trask at a hostile atmosphere, When they dont get Dameon or even Perine Pierce going regularly.
Florida has earned admiration from the school football world after a week. And while I dont expect them to come out in Death Valley with a win against LSU, I really do see this game staying most.
LSUs offense made strides, also Burrow is one of the more intelligent QBs from the FBS. But LSU isnt likely to install 45 or anything near that against a defense who is known at all 3 levels. Their pass-rush has completely evolved with Greenard wreaking chaos.
The Gators defense will wear out with time, as the team has relied on them much too much to change the tide in games. Marco Wilson is going to be the topic from Jefferson or the bodily Chase.
But I dont anticipate this before late in the fourth quarter. Keeping the game in enough of a slog till afterward makes Florida the bet on Saturday.
Prediction: LSU (30) — Florida (20)

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