The Chiefs come up to take on the Denver Broncos.
Kansas City, with an ATS record of 3-3 and a record of 4-2, come after two losses to conference opponents. The Broncos on the other hand, are riding high and coming off two straight wins versus AFC competitions. The Broncos sit at 2-4, and will also be 3-3 ATS so far this year. The reduction of Denver linebacker Bradley Chubb might have actually galvanized this team. Head coach Vic Fangio eventually has a hold on this Denver defense thats now rated the #7 defense in the league according to my defensive power ratings (through SparkSports.ca).
As for the Chiefs, their shield has seen. Kansas Citys defense has allowed an average of 406.2 metres per game and 24 points against per game. Ive got them rated as the 19 defense in the group. The Chiefs defensive battles are not their only problem as well, the Chiefs offense has struggled to be anything more than vanilla in their past couple of games. Kansas City line has not been in a position to protect Patrick Mahomes and because of this – were seeing a great deal of off balance cries and rear foot attempts. The Chiefs offense may have return down to earth after an whole season of being viewed to the Golden State Warriors as the football equivalent. It appears today, they are the Houston Rockets.
The overall consensus among those who set out NFL power ratings have the Chiefs as approximately 3pts greater compared to the Broncos over the road. Based on my numbers, my defensive ability evaluations have the Broncos as 9pts better compared to the Chiefs at home. I think this match can be won by Denver. This line opened as Denver +4.5 and money has come in over the Broncos and has transferred it into Broncos +3. I wish I managed to get on this +4.5 or +4 or perhaps +3.5, but I missed the boat. I jumped +3 while I had the chance, thinking that money would last to come in on Denver. That hasnt been the situation. As a reader, if youre able to hold off on the Broncos +3 and track online motion. I would jump on Denver +3.5 whenever you see buy back in on the Chiefs. In any event, I really like the Broncos here.
Current Line: Denver +3 (-107 through Pinnacle)
Eyeing: Denver +3.5 (-110)
Purchase: Denver +3 (-110 through Bet365)
1pm EST, Sunday October 20th
Lucas Oil Stadium, Indianapolis, Indiana
The Houston Texans and the Indianapolis Colts on Sunday visit . The Texans come into the same ATS record of 4-2, and this one with a 4-2 record. The Colts have been 3-2 using an ATS list of 3-1-1. Deshaun Watson has performed well in his first six matches of this season. Watson includes a completion percentage of 69.7%, throwing for 1644 yards, together with 12 touchdowns and 3 interceptions.
The Colts Jacoby Brissett has played as the Colts continue to move forward in Andrew Lucks surprise retirement. Jacoby Brissett includes a completion percentage of 64.7percent, and hes thrown for 1062 yards with 10 touchdowns and 3 interceptions. Even the Colts offensive line has become the highlight of their season, yet – that the performance of the defense will be what makes or breaks them.
Houston QB Deshaun Watson has got the maximum amount of sacks in the NFL since coming to the league, when hes sacked – that the Texans drop, when he stays on his feet – that the Texans win. Its that simple. Shield Deshaun Watson, and then also the Texans offensive line should maintain the Colts defense at bay. If they can do that, I expect that the Texans to win this game. My defensive power ratings possess the Texans as the 15 defense in the league, averaging 22.4 points a game against. Directly underneath the Texans is the Colts, that I have since the #16 defense in the league; permitting 23.1 points per match against.
The general consensus, from the power evaluations that are popular possess the Texans as about 1pt better compared to the Colts. But, according to my numbers – that the Colts must be around 2pts superior in the home than the Texans. This line opened in Colts -2.5 and proceeded up to Texans -1, and its now swung back to Colts -1. This is only one of the plays where I am going to have to side with the talking heads, and proceed against my own numbers. I really like the Texans here. The break or make deciding factor for me is going to be that, Houston has the league best red zone scoring portion by 71.43%. In addition, the Texans lead the team in third down conversion percentage. In terms of the Colts, they rank 30th in red zone scoring percentage and are ranked 27th in opponent third down conversion percentage. If it comes down to this, I think that the Texans will be able to score when it matters . Give the most Texans to me.
Present Line: Texans +1 (-104 through Pinnacle)
Bet: Texans pk (-110 via Bet365)
1PM EST, Sunday October 20th
The 4-2 Minnesota Vikings will travel to carry on Sunday afternoon. The Vikings encounter this one as the only team from the NFL to play all six matches without a change. Whichever team has scored has won the game, in each game theyve played with this season. The secret to this game to the Vikings will be evident – to come out blazing and start this sport. According to my amounts, Minnesota has the #6 defense in the league. The Vikings have only permitted 15.5pts per match against and only 310 metres per game against. In terms of Detroit, I have them rated as the #18 defensive team in the NFL.
The Lions have enabled 23.6 pts per match contrary to, also 413 yards per game against. The popular consensus electricity evaluations set out this week hold the Vikings as about 2.5pts greater compared to Detroit on the street. My private power ratings gets the gap between both of these teams as wider. Detroit on the road has not Minnesota as about 5pts compared to me. This line opened as a select em and has since moved into Detroit becoming +1.5 underdogs. With the Vikings simply giving -1.5pts, I think theres a ton of value on Minnesota here. Itll be on my own personal card come Sunday.
Present Line: Minnesota -1 (-116 through Pinnacle)
Bet: Minnesota -1 (-110 through Bet365)